JURNAL STOKASTIK PDF

ANALISIS R0 MODEL STOKASTIK PENYEBARAN DBD PADA POPULASI TERTUTUP. Metode Memperkirakan Debit Air yang Masuk ke Waduk dengan Metode Stokastik Chain Markov (Contoh Kasus: Pengoperasian Waduk Air Saguling). View Jurnal Rasimin from INDO indo at Sekolah Tinggi Akuntansi Negara. PEMODELAN PERIODIK DAN STOKASTIK CURAH HUJAN KOTA BANDAR.

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Hasil dari kedua model selanjutnya dapat digunakan pada model optimasi waduk dengan Program Dinamik Bellman. Result from both model is examined to optimization model of Bellman Dynamic Program. Based on the results of research on risk stoiastik showedthat the variables that are very sensitive and influential in a row are: Dari hasil proses komputerisasi yang didasarkan pengujian sensitifitas model optimasi Bellman terhadap debit sintetis hasil model kontinu Regresi Linier Ganda dan Diskrit Chain Markov, maka trayek optimum yang paling aman dipergunakan adalah trayek optimum pada kondisi ekstrim kering klas 0karena dengan menggunakan trayek tersebut dapat mengatasi kondisi waduk dalam keadaaan kritis defisit airsedangkan trayek optimal pada kondisi debit normal dan debit ekstrim basah tidak stokasfik mengatasi kondisi waduk dalam keadaan kritis.

Dalam model Chain Markov dilakukan penyederhanaan besaran debit air yang masuk waduk dengan membaginya menjadi 3 klas yang digunakan untuk menelusuri runtun kejadian debit air pencatatan historik. The results are considered to yield a ver ylimited information and do not represent risks and uncertainties that may be en-countered as the reality of the investment itself.

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Abstract The Kandis – Dumai toll road is designed at a second phase of Pekanbaru-Kandis-Dumai toll road development plan. The analysis was done by using his-torical data for some risk variables, expert opinions, and results of previous studies. Keywords Stokastik; Chain markov; Optimasi waduk. jurna,

Distribusi Poisson dan Distribusi Eksponensial dalam Proses Stokastik

Investment feasibility assessment methods commonly usedare as follow: In Chain Markov model is performed simplicity mulberry of water debit which enter to reservoir and divide it become 3 jurnnal. One way reached is to determine mulberry of water volume in reservoir, especially to produce energy, by accomplishing optimization to manage reservoir.

From result of computerization proses based on sensitivirty testing using Bellman Optimization model to synthesis flow jyrnal water by continue model of Linear Regression and Discret Chain Markov model, so the protected optimum route that using is the optimum route stoksatik extreme dry condition Class 0because by using such route can undertake critical reservoir condition water deficitwhereas the optimal route in normal flow of water condition and extreme wet flow of water condition is not finish a critical reservoir condition.

Salah satu usaha yang dapat ditempuh untuk mengoptimasi penggunaan sumber daya air, terutama untuk menghasilkan energi, ialah dengan melakukan optimasi terhadap pengelolaan suatu waduk.

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This study ana-lyzed using stochastic approach to find the sensitivity level of the variables thatinfluence riskas an effort to provide more comprehensive information in relationto decision making at the level of confidence. For investors, business strategydecisions with minimal information which is of course very risky.

Results of analysis with a stochastic approach showed that with 35 years conces-sion period and the tariffs of vehicle Stokasfik I is Rp.

Pengoperasian Waduk Air Saguling. User Username Password Remember me.

The Iowa State Univ. User Username Password Remember me. Those parameters use a deterministic approach willyield result of single point estimate value. Weilbull,A-Statistical theory of the strength of material. Construction of toll road shokastik require highcapital outlays with a long payback period.

SIMULASI STOKASTIK MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA GIBBS SAMPLING | Anifa | Jurnal Gaussian

In addition, from a business perspec-tive, the toll road construction project has a sensitive and vulnerable to risk anduncertainty characters. Difficult problem to utilize flow surplus and optimal to manage water reservoir is placed in uncapability to anticipate mulberry of water discharge in future.

Probability and Statistics in Hydrology.